A/B Test: Free Trial Duration Optimization (Priority 3)
Description
⏰ A/B Test: Free Trial Duration Optimization\n\nParent Story: SMR-58 - A/B Testing Framework \nTest Priority: 3 (Conversion Optimization)\n\n---\n\n## 📊 Test Hypothesis\n\nTheory: Optimal trial duration balances urgency (shorter) vs habit formation (longer) to maximize trial → paid conversion\n\nCurrent Baseline: 1 week trial (established in v3.72) \nTest Variants: 3-day trial vs 14-day trial\n\n---\n\n## 🎯 Test Configuration\n\n### Control Group (33%):\n- Current: 7-day (1 week) trial\n- Established baseline performance\n- Known conversion metrics\n\n### Variant A (33%):\n- Short: 3-day trial\n- Hypothesis: Creates urgency, drives faster decisions\n- Risk: May not allow enough time to see value\n\n### Variant B (33%):\n- Long: 14-day trial \n- Hypothesis: Builds habits, demonstrates full value\n- Risk: Users may forget or lose urgency\n\n---\n\n## 📈 Success Metrics\n\n### Primary KPIs:\n- Trial → Paid Conversion Rate: % of trial users who become paying customers\n- Trial Completion Rate: % who use trial for full duration\n- Time to Conversion: How quickly users convert during trial\n\n### Secondary KPIs:\n- Feature Usage During Trial: Which features drive conversion\n- User Engagement: Daily/weekly active usage during trial\n- Churn Rate: Users who cancel before trial ends\n\n---\n\n## 🔧 Implementation Requirements\n\n### Trial Duration Logic:\n1. Identify Trial Configuration\n - Find where trial duration is set\n - Map trial logic in codebase\n - Understand current implementation\n\n2. Firebase Remote Config Setup\n - Create TRIAL_DURATION_DAYS config\n - Set up A/B test groups\n - Configure user segmentation\n\n### Development Tasks:\n3. Update Trial Logic\n - Make trial duration configurable\n - Integrate with Remote Config\n - Test duration switching\n\n4. Analytics Enhancement\n - Track trial start/end events\n - Monitor conversion timing\n - Set up cohort analysis\n\n---\n\n## 📊 Expected Results\n\n### 3-Day Trial (Urgency Hypothesis):\n- Pro: Higher urgency, faster decisions\n- Con: Less time to demonstrate value\n- Expected: +2-3% conversion OR -5% (if too short)\n\n### 14-Day Trial (Habit Hypothesis):\n- Pro: More time to build habits, see full value\n- Con: Users may delay decision, forget value\n- Expected: +3-5% conversion OR -2% (if too long)\n\nTarget: Find optimal duration for +3-8% trial conversion improvement\n\n---\n\n## 🧠 Strategic Considerations\n\n### Psychological Factors:\n- Loss Aversion: Shorter trials create fear of losing access\n- Commitment Escalation: Longer usage builds commitment\n- Temporal Discounting: People value immediate vs future benefits differently\n\n### Product Factors:\n- Learning Curve: How long to understand app value?\n- Use Case Timing: When do users need scheduling most?\n- Feature Discovery: Time needed to explore all features\n\n---\n\n## ⏱️ Timeline\n\n- Code Analysis: 2-3 hours\n- Implementation: 6-8 hours \n- Testing & QA: 3-4 hours\n- Results Analysis: 4-5 hours\n\nTotal Effort: 15-20 hours over 3-4 weeks\n\n---\n\n## 🎯 Success Criteria\n\nMinimum Success: Identify optimal trial duration \nGood Success: +3-5% trial conversion improvement \nExcellent Success: +5-8% trial conversion improvement\n\nLong-term Impact: Optimize trial experience for maximum revenue\n\n---\n\n## ✅ Definition of Done\n\n- [ ] Current trial duration logic identified and mapped\n- [ ] Firebase Remote Config TRIAL_DURATION_DAYS implemented\n- [ ] A/B test deployed to 33/33/33 split\n- [ ] Trial analytics tracking confirmed accurate\n- [ ] Test runs for 4-6 weeks (longer due to trial duration)\n- [ ] Statistical significance achieved for all variants\n- [ ] Conversion impact analyzed by trial length\n- [ ] Optimal trial duration recommendation made\n- [ ] Implementation plan for winning variant created"
To Do
Details
Priority
Reporter
Shay Panuilov
More fields
Assignee
None
Labels
None
Due date
None
Original estimate
None
Time tracking
None
Fix versions
None
Affects versions
None
Components
None